Frequently asked questions
Everything about the Orbit Analytics statistics tool — the data, the numbers, subscriptions and how to use it. Search or browse below.
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Why do you use futures data instead of the index or CFD I trade?
Futures like NQ (Nasdaq-100), GC (gold) and BTC (bitcoin) trade on one central, regulated exchange with a single consolidated price feed — and every broker's cash index or CFD is derived from exactly that future. Building the statistics on the futures gives one clean, consistent dataset that isn't distorted by an individual broker's spread, feed or session quirks. Because every figure here is a ratio (range vs ADR, moves in SD), it is price-scale-agnostic and carries straight over to the matching CFD.
Can I trade these setups on the corresponding CFD symbol?
Yes. The cash index or CFD your broker offers (for example US100 / NAS100, XAUUSD or BTCUSD) tracks the underlying future very closely during the cash session, so the opening-range behaviour is effectively the same. Two things to keep in mind: your broker's spread, commission and exact quote times differ slightly from the futures, and you must still measure the opening range at 09:30–09:45 New York time. Always back-test on your own broker's symbol before trading it live.
Why does the yen (6J) chart look upside-down compared to USD/JPY?
Because currency futures are quoted the other way round. A CME currency future is the foreign currency priced in US dollars — the yen future (6J) is dollars-per-yen — whereas the spot/CFD quote most people watch, USD/JPY, is yen-per-dollar. The two are inverses, so the 6J chart is flipped versus USD/JPY: when USD/JPY rises (the dollar gains on the yen) 6J falls, and vice-versa. So a short-side edge on 6J is the same trade as long USD/JPY — don't read the futures direction as the USD/JPY direction. The same flip applies to any pair normally quoted USD/XXX (USD/CHF, USD/CAD…). Pairs already quoted XXX/USD — like the British pound, where 6B matches GBP/USD — line up with their future and need no flipping.
Where does the data come from and how often is it updated?
Prices are one-minute bars from Databento (CME/COMEX GLBX.MDP3, front-month contract); macro-news dates come from the US Federal Reserve and FRED. Nothing is logged or hand-picked by eye. The whole dataset is recomputed from fresh market data automatically once a week.
How far back does the history go?
Most symbols — NQ (Nasdaq-100), ES (S&P 500), GC (gold), CL (crude oil), 6B (British pound), 6J (Japanese yen), FDAX (DAX 40) and YM (Dow Jones) — reach back to 2008, roughly 4,700 trading days each; BTC (bitcoin) starts at its CME launch in December 2017, and 6E (euro) reaches back to mid-2010. The time-horizon control lets you narrow that to any recent window, right down to the last month.
Why do the displayed times sometimes shift by an hour (summer / winter time)?
All times are computed in US Eastern time and then relabelled into the timezone you choose at the top of the filters. The US and Europe switch between summer and winter time (daylight saving) on different dates — roughly two weeks apart each spring and autumn — so during those short windows the New York open lands an hour earlier or later on your local clock than usual (for example 15:30 vs 14:30 Berlin time). The opening range is always anchored to the real market open; only the clock label moves. Keep this in mind when reading the timing charts around late March and late October / early November.
What exactly counts as a "breakout"?
By default, the moment price first pierces the opening-range edge (a touch) over your chosen window — the earliest possible entry, and the new default. Its direction sets the trade. If you want more confirmation, the Entry control lets you switch to a 5- or 15-minute candle close beyond the edge instead (wait for a candle to close, ignoring brief pokes).
What does "1 SD" mean?
One SD is one full opening-range width, measured from the broken edge. It is the natural unit of risk: entering at the break with a stop at the opposite edge risks about 1 SD, so targets, drawdown and the equity curves are all expressed in SD / R multiples — comparable across instruments no matter their price.
Are the equity curves real, tradeable returns?
No — they are a simplified simulation: enter at the trigger candle's close, stop at the opposite edge, exit at your chosen SD target or the cash close, with no spread, commission or slippage. They exist to compare how conditions change the outcome, not as a live track record.
Why do some breakdown buckets disappear?
Any bucket with fewer than five days is hidden, because a single day showing 100% is noise, not a statistic. Widen your filters or the time horizon to bring small buckets back.
How do I use these statistics to plan a trade?
There is a step-by-step reference guide to every control on the tool — picking a market, setting the session and opening range, filtering to your conditions, choosing the trade type, reading the outcome panels and building an equity curve.
How to use the Orbit System →Can I watch this live on a chart?
Yes. The free ORBit Analytics TradingView indicator draws this exact setup live on your chart — filter a setup on the tool, copy its preset, paste it into the indicator, and it plots the opening range, the run/retracement/timing statistics and a dashboard that flags when today is outside your filters.
Set up the ORBit Analytics indicator →Will you add more symbols and features?
Yes — more symbols (more FX pairs, Russell and others) and new features (correlation insights, and later a live market-condition filter) are planned. Click “More coming soon” in the instrument row on the tool to see the full roadmap.
Can I request a feature or a new statistic?
Yes. Reach out with your idea and if I consider it at least worth testing, I will build it and run my own checks. Several of the filters and panels here started as user requests, so every promising idea gets a fair shot — not all of them make it in, but each one is genuinely considered. Contact me here:
Is any of this trading advice?
No. Everything here is historical market-behaviour data for education only. Past behaviour is not a prediction of the future, and trading financial instruments carries substantial risk.